Markets Have Priced in a Fed Rate Hike This Week, But The Economic Case Is Far From a Slam Dunk

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Redfin News reports that futures markets have all but locked in a Federal Reserve rate increase for the coming Wednesday, yet the underlying economic justification remains contested. Friday's CPI release appears to have sealed traders' expectations even as broader indicators suggest the policy path is less predetermined than pricing implies. The article notes particular ambiguity around how any hike would transmit to mortgage rates, a question that matters immediately to anyone financing or refinancing real estate.

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